Annual Variability in the Cordillera Blanca Snow Accumulation Area Between 1988 and 2023 Using a Cloud Processing Platform

Abstract

Tropical glaciers are highly sensitive to climate change, with their mass balance influenced by temperature and precipitation, which affects the accumulation area. In this study, we developed an open-source tool to map the accumulation area of glaciers in the Cordillera Blanca, Peru (1988–2023), using Landsat images, spectral indices, and the Otsu method. We analyzed trends and correlations between snow accumulation area, meteorological patterns from ERA5 data, and oscillation modes. The results were validated using field data and manual mapping. Greater discrepancies were observed in glaciers with debris cover or small clean glaciers (<1 km2). The Amazonian and Pacific sectors showed a significant trend in decreasing accumulation areas, with reductions of 8.99% and 10.24%, respectively, from 1988–1999 to 2010–2023. El Niño events showed higher correlations with snow accumulation, snowfall, and temperature during the wet season, indicating a stronger influence on the Pacific sector. The accumulation area was strongly anti-correlated with temperature and correlated with snowfall in both sectors at a 95% confidence level (α = 0.05). The highest correlations with meteorological parameters were observed during the dry season, suggesting that even minor changes in temperature or precipitation could significantly impact the accumulation area.